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Composite Average

Sacramento Metro · 3 counties · 52 zip codes · 09-26 · v3.0

Jay Emerson, Broker

Emerson Real Estate

Cal DRE# 01788488

Housing data through 09-26

ElementsMetricsMomentumMajorZip CodesGlossaryBlog

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Showing Composite Average

Market snapshot

Composite Average · September 2026

vs Aug 2026

vs Sep 2025

$587,000

−0.2%
0.7%

Sold

26.8

−4.2%
−7.5%

$591,700

−0.2%
−0.3%

-$4,700

−$100
$5,800

Composite Average

0 S · 2 B · 0 N

Sellers / Buyers / Neutral

Sacramento County

2 S · 0 B · 0 N

Sellers / Buyers / Neutral

Placer County

2 S · 0 B · 0 N

Sellers / Buyers / Neutral

El Dorado County

1 S · 1 B · 0 N

Sellers / Buyers / Neutral

  • Composite Average: 0 Sellers, 2 Buyers, 0 Neutral
  • Sacramento County: 2 Sellers, 0 Buyers, 0 Neutral
  • Placer County: 2 Sellers, 0 Buyers, 0 Neutral
  • El Dorado County: 1 Sellers, 1 Buyers, 0 Neutral

Median and 12-MMA are price levels and are not counted. Tallies count Divergence and Median Þ only. Read them with price level and the major forces — not as a forecast and not as a decision.

Composite Average

Permalink /averages
Metric
COMPOSITE VALUE$587,000$591,700-4,700 (▼)-0.4 (UP)
——BUYERSBUYERS
——pos = SELLERS · 0 = NEUTRAL · neg = BUYERSpos = SELLERS · 0 = NEUTRAL · neg = BUYERS
Rank————
Lows / Highs————
SummaryComposite Average shows 0 metrics favoring Sellers, 2 favoring Buyers, and 0 Neutral. Median is below its 12-MMA. Median and 12-MMA are price levels, not stance gauges (0 Sellers / 2 Buyers / 0 Neutral).

Composite Lows/Highs

Month-matching-month: this September versus the prior 12 Septembers (2014–2025). Sep Avg is the mean of those 12 Septembers, not a 12-month moving average. A 12-yr Sep low or high is the current print in that window.

12-yr Sep lows

None flagged

12-yr Sep highs

None flagged

Avg Sold Listings (27) is 75% of its Sep Avg of 36

Avg SoldSep Avg 36SFRs

vs vs

Composite (52-zip average) · 8 years. Dollars on the left. Þ on the right (zero = no force).

Highest Median Price is $1,305,000 in Granite Bay 95746

Lowest Median Price is $345,000 in Pollock Pines 95726

Composite Average Median Price is $587,000

Highest Median Price 12-MMA is $1,265,000 in Granite Bay 95746

Lowest Median Price 12-MMA is $357,000 in Arden 95815

Composite Average Median Price 12-MMA is $591,700

Highest Median Price Momentum is 6.4 in Roseville 95661

Lowest Median Price Momentum is -10.6 in West Sac 95605

Composite Average Median Price Momentum is -0.4.

Where this month sits

Composite Average average sold count of the tracked zips, September 2026: 26.8

Dashed line is the average, 29.7. Yellow dot is September 2026. Months before the first sold count are not on the chart.

6.3 low

29.7 avg

26.8 now

59.7 high

Low6.3January 2009
This month26.8September 2026
Average29.7April 2003 – September 2026
High59.7June 2004

282 months on this chart. September 2026 is 2.9 under the average. 160 months were higher. 120 were lower. 1 other month also sold 26.8.

Among 24 Septembers, 15 were higher and 8 were lower. The September average is 31.4.

26.8 is 20.5 above the low and 32.9 below the high. Not a forecast.

Each element

Composite Average. September 2024 – September 2026. The bar runs from the low to the high of the months on record. The gold mark is this month. The tick in the middle of the bar is the average. Not a forecast.

Activity

Sold

26.8

on record

26.8 is above the on record average of 26.4. Low 17, January 2026. High 33, June 2026.

Price

Median

$587,000

on record

$587,000 is below the on record average of $591,800. Low $576,000, November 2025. High $612,000, June 2025.

Median 12-month average

$591,700

on record

$591,700 is even with the on record average of $591,544. Low $585,700, February 2026. High $596,600, July 2025.

Divergence™

-$4,700

on record

-$4,700 is below the on record average of $256. Low -$14,000, November 2025. High $18,000, March 2025.

Metric charts · Composite (52-zip average)

One chart per stance metric for this geography. Hover a point for the value.

Highest Median Price Divergence™ is 170,500 in Land Park 95818

Lowest Median Price Divergence™ is -137,300 in Arden 95864

Composite Average Median Price Divergence™ is -4,700.

Highest Median Price Momentum is 6.4 in Roseville 95661

Lowest Median Price Momentum is -10.6 in West Sac 95605

Composite Average Median Price Momentum is -0.4.

Distribution by metric

in Composite Average

(52 zipcodes). Tap a bar to open that geography.

Highest Median Price is $1,305,000 in Granite Bay 95746

Lowest Median Price is $345,000 in Pollock Pines 95726

Composite Average Median Price is $587,000

Highest Median Price 12-MMA is $1,265,000 in Granite Bay 95746

Lowest Median Price 12-MMA is $357,000 in Arden 95815

Composite Average Median Price 12-MMA is $591,700

Highest Median Price Divergence™ is 170,500 in Land Park 95818

Lowest Median Price Divergence™ is -137,300 in Arden 95864

Composite Average Median Price Divergence™ is -4,700.

Highest Median Price Momentum is 6.4 in Roseville 95661

Lowest Median Price Momentum is -10.6 in West Sac 95605

Composite Average Median Price Momentum is -0.4.

Composite momentum

Price momentum (Þ) across 52 zip codes · 09-26

Up
28

54% of zips

Down
19

37% of zips

Above zero
21

positive Þ

Swing
9

28 up / 19 down

Average Þ
-0.40

buyer

Spread
17.0

max 95661 · min 95605

Monthly tally of zip codes — Up, Down, No Change. Not an average. 8 years.

09-26: 28 Up (27 last month, 19 last year). 19 Down (24 last month, 32 last year). 5 NC. Swing 9 (28 Up, 19 Down). 52 zips tracked.

Last Up high 48 (05-21). Last Up low 1 (08-06). Last Down high 48 (12-22). Last Down low 4 (05-21).

Zip codes with positive median Þ (Þ > 0) vs the 52-zip average median. Positive Þ favors Sellers. 8 years.

Average median $587,000, -0.7% MoM, 0.7% YoY, peaked 05-22. 21 zips in the Buy Zone (Þ > 0).

Last Buy Zone high 52 (10-22). Last Buy Zone low 0 (02-10).

Major forces

Macro inputs used alongside local MLS composites. Tap a navy term? for the definition. Each series has its own chart.

6.89%

08-26

89.4

08-26

51.7

08-26

35

08-26

552

08-26

Sac/Roseville employment

1,109.0k

08-26

847.0k

08-26

263.0k

08-26

808

07-26 · last month

81,771

07-26 · last month

28

08-26

31k

06-26 · 2 months ago

−50.8% MoM · +338.5% YoY

-26k

06-26 · 2 months ago

+76.1% MoM · +83.8% YoY

Zip detail

52 rows · Sellers, Buyers, and Neutral are the favoring tallies (Median and 12-MMA are not counted) · tap a header to sort · tap a row to open its geography report

95746Granite Bay 95746PL200$1,305,000$1.26M2.3
95762El Dorado Hills 95762ED110$978,000$939k-3.2
95818Land Park 95818SA200$961,000$791k5.3
95650Loomis 95650PL020$935,000$946k-1.7
95630Folsom 95630SA110$778,000$772k-1.9
95819East Sac 95819SA110$765,000$787k0.6
95831Pocket 95831SA200$742,000$694k4.6
95765Rocklin 95765PL110$740,000$739k-1.6
95816Downtown 95816SA020$712,000$728k-4.7
95661Roseville 95661PL110$706,000$736k6.4
95864Arden 95864SA110$700,000$837k4.7
95757Elk Grove 95757SA110$695,000$689k-3.5
95603Auburn 95602+95603PL200$687,000$673k0.6
95677Rocklin 95677PL020$685,000$698k-0.2
95608Carmichael 95608SA200$675,000$599k2.2
95682Cameron Pk 95682ED110$650,000$689k2.2
95628Fair Oaks 95628SA110$650,000$662k5.0
95747Roseville 95747PL110$649,000$655k1.8
95624Elk Grove 95624SA020$630,000$634k-2.6
95648Lincoln 95648PL110$625,000$627k0.2
95742Rancho Cordova 95742SA110$616,000$612k-1.6
95835Natomas 95835SA200$593,000$585k2.4
95678Roseville 95678PL110$590,000$569k-3.8
95758Elk Grove 95758SA110$578,000$576k-1.9
95829Vineyard 95829SA020$565,000$588k-2.2
95825Arden 95825SA200$540,000$508k2.4
95662Orangevale 95662SA020$525,000$570k-1.9
95833Natomas 95833SA200$525,000$495k3.6
95691West Sac 95691YO110$523,000$580k1.5
95610Citrus Heights 95610SA110$510,000$528k1.1
95667Placerville 95667ED110$508,000$564k2.1
95821Arden 95821SA020$497,000$523k-0.9
95826College Greens 95826SA110$495,000$485k-0.7
95670Rancho Cordova 95670SA020$490,000$505k-1.8
95834Natomas 95834SA020$490,000$492k-6.5
95843Antelope 95843SA020$482,000$503k-1.6
95621Citrus Heights 95621SA110$475,000$475k-1.0
95822Greenhaven 95822SA110$475,000$453k-0.4
95605West Sac 95605YO110$465,000$465k-10.6
95673Rio Linda 95673SA110$455,000$458k1.7
95823Franklin 95823SA200$450,000$441k0.2
95827Rosemont 95827SA020$450,000$477k-1.7
95828Florin 95828SA020$443,000$465k-2.7
95841North Sac 95841SA020$423,000$460k-0.1
95842Foothill Farms 95842SA020$415,000$430k-1.8
95817Oak Park 95817SA020$405,000$495k-4.3
95838Del Paso Hts 95838SA110$395,000$393k-1.1
95660North Highlnds 95660SA020$392,000$394k-1.0
95815Arden 95815SA110$382,000$357k-0.6
95824Fruitridge 95824SA110$380,000$385k1.4
95820Elder Creek 95820SA020$377,000$408k-0.4
95726Pollock Pines 95726ED020$345,000$374k-5.3
Subtotal43610

Glossary

Hover or tap a navy-highlighted term (dashed yellow underline + yellow “?”) for the definition. Terms are part of the published app. Additions, edits, and deletes are made in Build Mode, not on this page.

Wise Market Intelligence System™
Emerson Real Estate’s proprietary read of Sacramento Metro housing from Metrolist data across 3 counties and 52 zip codes. Not a prediction and not legal advice.
Median Price
Closed median sale price from Metrolist. Distressed sales excluded. A price level, not a buyer/seller stance gauge.
Median Price 12-MMA
12-month moving average of median price. Smooths one-month noise so Divergence and Momentum have a baseline. A price level, not a stance gauge.
Median Price Divergence™
Median minus 12-MMA, in dollars. Positive favors Sellers, zero is Neutral, negative favors Buyers. The ▲/▼ count is consecutive months on that side of the 12-MMA.
Median Price Momentum™
Direction and force of the 12-MMA change (Þ). Positive favors Sellers, zero Neutral, negative Buyers. UP/DN is the latest monthly move of Þ, not the sign of Þ itself.
Momentum Swing Indicator™
Monthly tally of zip codes whose median Þ moved Up, Down, or No Change. Not an average. Swing is the gap between Up and Down counts that month.
Momentum Buy Zone
Count of zip codes with positive median Þ (Þ > 0). That count is the Buy Zone — it favors Sellers. Plotted against the 52-zip average median.
12-year MMM
Month-matching-month. This September versus the prior 12 Septembers (2014–2025). Sep Avg is the mean of those 12 Septembers. A 12-yr Sep low or high is the current September print in that window — not a 12-month moving average.
Composite Average
Equal-weight average of the 52 tracked zip codes (not a sales-weighted metro median). Used as the baseline row in every geography report.
Favoring
Which side of the market that metric currently supports: SELLERS (green), BUYERS (red), or NEUTRAL. Divergence and Median Þ are the stance gauges. Median and 12-MMA are price levels and do not favor a side.
Gauge
The decision rule for that metric’s Favoring call. Same rule at zip, county, and composite.
30-year mortgage rate
Average 30-year fixed contract rate. Cost of money. Higher rates typically cool buyer demand and stretch affordability. Freddie 30 yr fixed (http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/charts.asp)
Consumer Confidence Index
Conference Board household-outlook index. Rising confidence supports housing demand; falling confidence weighs on it. (https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence)
Consumer Sentiment
University of Michigan consumer sentiment. A second household-mood series used with CCI, not a local MLS metric. (http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/)
Housing Market Index
NAHB builder sentiment (present sales, traffic, future sales). Leading read on new-home supply. (https://www.nahb.org/News-and-Economics/Housing-Economics/Indices/Housing-Market-Index)
New Home Permits
Building permits authorized. Leading indicator of future new-home supply, lagged before closings. SAC RSVL Metro (http://www.census.gov/construction/bps/msamonthly.html)
Private employment
Private-sector jobs in the Sacramento-Roseville MSA, thousands. Strips out government payroll. SMU06409000500000001 (http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/srgate)
Government employment
Government jobs in the Sacramento-Roseville MSA, thousands. A large local payroll share. SMU06409009000000001 (http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/srgate)
Single-family starts
Single-family housing starts. New construction pace feeding future inventory. (https://www.nahb.org/News-and-Economics/Housing-Economics/Indices/Housing-Market-Index)
Nonfarm payrolls
National nonfarm payroll change, in thousands of jobs. The 3rd estimate for that month. June 2026 is +31k, half of May and a small gain against a June 2025 loss. Not a Sacramento MLS print. NFP 3rd OTM (https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesnaicsrev.htm)
NFP revision
Later correction to the nonfarm payroll change, in thousands of jobs. Negative means the first report was too high. June 2026 is −26k, a smaller cut than May (−109k) and June 2025 (−160k). NFP 3rd OTM Rev (https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesnaicsrev.htm)

Metrolist (distressed sales excluded from housing composites). Figures compiled from Metrolist for Sacramento, Placer, and El Dorado counties (52 tracked zip codes). Not a prediction and not legal advice. Jay Emerson, Broker, Emerson Real Estate — Cal DRE# 01788488.

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